Mark Marshall President at JM Construction

California Construction Sector Custom Newsletter

Date: November 06, 2025

Welcome to this custom edition of the California Construction Sector Newsletter, curated with the latest insights to support informed financial decisions for your construction company. This issue spotlights developments as of early November 2025, including code transitions, project pipelines, cost escalations, and workforce investments amid economic shifts.

Building Permits

As California transitions to the 2025 Building Standards Code effective January 1, 2026, permit applications from that date must incorporate enhanced safety, sustainability, and energy efficiency measures, potentially elevating initial compliance expenses. Permit Sonoma’s updated submittal process, effective October 1, 2025, streamlines reviews but enforces stricter timelines, with permits expiring if no progress occurs within set periods. Recent data shows subdued activity, with October 2025 issuances in areas like Palisades down 25% from prior months, averaging 82-day processing times. Legislative briefings highlight ongoing housing reforms and permitting deadlines influencing 2025 workflows. For budgeting, prepare for year-end rushes before code changes, as post-expiration resubmissions will require full updates.

Construction Starts

Residential starts in California for the semi-annual period ending August 2025 reflect ongoing trends, with single-family units at lower levels amid broader U.S. figures of 890,000 annually in August, down 7% month-over-month. New affordable housing initiatives, such as the October 30 start of 184 units in San Francisco’s Sunnydale neighborhood, underscore $500 million investments in redevelopments. Public bids dominate, with top September opportunities including University of California projects and infrastructure. Forecasts project a 12% national rise in residential starts to $441 billion, though California’s housing goals remain unmet. Midyear outlooks indicate delayed surges due to economic turbulence, with nonresidential spending down 1.1% year-over-year as of July. For financial planning, target resilient segments like clean energy, where workforce growth supports over $24 billion in sector value.

Material Costs

Material prices are surging, with overall inputs up 2.3% year-over-year and nonresidential costs 2.6% higher, testing project viability. In Southern California, delays from 2024 to 2025 are inflating totals by 15-25%, with monthly rises of 1.5-2%. Los Angeles sees persistent elevations, 25-28% above pre-2020 baselines, affecting steel and concrete. Commercial expenses continue climbing in 2025 due to regulations and supply issues, with over 80% of materials up since 2020. Potential tariffs on foreign goods could exacerbate volatility, particularly for imports, prompting shifts to industrial and multifamily focuses. Use final cost inflation indices for adjustments, as 2025 projections show 3-6% escalations amid stabilizing but elevated trends. To counter, lock in contracts early and monitor tariff policies for hedging opportunities.

Labor Costs

Labor expenses are rising amid shortages, with 3-5% increases projected through 2025 in areas like Los Angeles, compounded by monthly 1-1.5% hikes from delays. Wage growth varies by role, with electricians up 20-30% and plumbers 18-25%, while states like California saw 3.4% real increases from 2019-2024. The industry faces a 439,000-worker need in 2025, with 306,000 open positions as of July, costing $10.8 billion annually nationwide. Immigration policies and regulatory demands are driving further elevations, overshadowing resilient pipelines. A key boost: $25 million state funding announced October 20 for apprenticeships to train over 22,000 workers in high-paying roles. For strategy, anticipate subdued hiring in cooling sectors but leverage training programs to mitigate shortages and control costs.

Other Relevant Information

California’s construction outlook balances growth in clean jobs—employing many in construction and services—with economic cooling, as total spending dipped 2.8% year-over-year in June. Contractor sentiment remains positive, with 69% expecting revenue rises and 63% forecasting overall expansion. Trends include sustainability drives and workforce evolution, amid tariff risks and supply frictions. Housing laws effective January 2025 aim to accelerate affordability, while Q3 data shows nonresidential declines but planning highs. Diversify into public and resilient projects to navigate uncertainties.

This newsletter is compiled from Grok’s web lookups for timely, substantiated insights. For deeper analysis, consult official sources like the California Department of General Services or industry reports.

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